2020 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 04, 2020

This pick was released to clients on October 02, 2021 at 7:47AM ET.

04

New Orleans at Detroit

Sunday 10/04 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on New Orleans -4 (-107) (risk 1 to return 1.93)  RESULT: WIN

Detroit pulled out a win at Arizona to snap an 11-game losing streak, but don't get too excited about the Lions just yet. They still have Matt Patricia as the coach, and his record with the Lions is 10-24-1 straight up and 16-19 ATS. Detroit's defense is ranked #28 in the league in yards allowed and #30 in rushing yards allowed. New Orleans is 1-2, but the Saints have played a difficult schedule, opening with Tampa Bay before going to Las Vegas for the Raiders' first home game in their new city, and then last week against Green Bay. Drew Brees doesn't have the arm strength he used to have, but he still finished 29 of 36 for 288 yards as he transitions into a shorter passing game. The Saints gained 122 rushing yards on 6.1 yards per carry against Green Bay, and they are averaging 29.3 points per game. The last time these teams met was in 2017, and New Orleans won 52-38 as a six-point favorite. The Saints are 12-2 ATS the last 14 years in Week 4, and they are 11-4 ATS their last 15 games overall. Also, New Orleans is 37-15 ATS its last 52 October games and 35-17 ATS its last 52 road games. Detroit is 3-11 ATS its last 14 games and 3-9 ATS against the NFC. Also, Detroit has covered just two of its last seven home contests. Lay the points with the Saints.


FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Saints 7 21 7 0 35
Lions 14 0 7 8 29

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