2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 21, 2008
New Orleans at Detroit
Sunday 12/21 01:00 PM Eastern
4 units on Game Total UNDER 51 -110 (risk 4 to return 4) RESULT: WIN
The Lions are running out of time as they enter this one with a 0-14 record. They stand to become the only team that will forever be entrenched in the NFL record books for absolute futility. It certainly won't be easy to avoid this fate. They have not been able to find stability all season on offense. How can you when you have had three different QBs starting games? None of them ever had a chance to stay long behind center to get in any kind of rhythm. Orlovsky had five starts, Kitna four starts, and Culpepper five starts. Consequently, the Lions have not produced more than 23 points in a game all season long. They have had their QBs sacked 49 times, and have converted just 28% of their third-down attempts. The Saints, without Reggie Bush, carry one surprise into this game. They are considered to be a soft defense, but no running back has gotten 100 yards on them all season! They are the top-ranked offense in the NFL overall, but the numbers on the road haven't been as glossy. Over their last five road games, the Saints have produced just 20.2 points per game. They are dead at 7-7 in terms of finding the playoffs. There are five teams ahead of them in the wildcard standings, and another tied with them, so how much energy will they bring to a game against an 0-14 team? The offense hasn't produced, and attention and motivation here should be low. The Lions haven't produced all season. I like this one to go UNDER the total.