2014 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 30, 2014

This pick was released to clients on October 30, 2014 at 12:33PM ET.

30

New Orleans at Carolina

Thursday 10/30 08:25 PM Eastern

1 unit on Carolina +3.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)  RESULT: LOSS

It is hard to believe that with half the season complete, the Carolina Panthers lead the NFC South with just a 3-4-1 record on the season. Close behind is New Orleans at 3-4. This game will go a long way to determine who will have the edge down the road. With a trip to New Orleans in early December yet to come, this game is huge for Carolina. New Orleans is off a dominating home win against Green Bay, but that is how it has gone for this team. They dominate at home, and struggle on the road. New Orleans brings an 0-7 road mark into this game, while over the same period they are 5-0 at home in the regular season. The numbers tell the story. Since the beginning of last December in the regular season New Orleans outscores opponents 174-93 while being outscored on the road 134-203. The Saints have allowed a ridiculous 31.2 points per game this season on the road. Carolina has not played well, but the numbers are better than what we have seen from New Orleans on the road where it is impossible to take a team that is favored that has failed to win any of their last seven roadies The Saints' offense is not nearly as good on the road, while the defense has imploded over the stretch to allow 31.3 points per game. The Saints bring a 3-9 ATS record into this contest over their last 12 road games, while the Panthers own a 9-2-1 ATS mark in their last 12 at home. The Saints are just 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings, including just 1-5 ATS here. Ron Rivera has his issues, but against losing teams, he is 13-5 ATS. This line is off as the public loves a short price on New Orleans, and doesn't like Carolina. The line here should be closer to New Orleans by 1. Getting 3 or 3.5 at home here represents great value. Take the points on Carolina.



FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Saints 0 14 7 7 28
Panthers 0 0 7 3 10

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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