2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 27, 2009

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

27

New Orleans at Buffalo

Sunday 09/27 04:05 PM Eastern

3 units on Buffalo +6 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: LOSS

The Saints are off to a flying start at 2-0, scoring 93 points in the process. Fantasy football owners of Drew Brees are already making room on their mantle for their league's trophy. The Saints beat a hapless Detroit team and an Eagles team without a QB, so I'm not jumping on the bandwagon just yet. Even if I was ready to hop on board, there wouldn't be room for me as those enamored with high-octane offense and spotless win-loss records are filling up the bandwagon quickly. You know what that means? Get off! The Bills suffered a horrible loss to New England by one point in the opener, but to their credit they came back strong against Tampa Bay. This team is better than most people think and they are are never an easy out at home (just ask New England). Coach Dick Juaron has posted a 15-3 ATS mark at home in non-conference games. The Bills have also been a top home dog team with an 8-4 ATS mark. Drew Brees is getting all the headlines, but we have to note that Bills QB Trent Edwards finally has some weapons at his disposal, and last week hit Lee Evans for a 32-yard TD and Terrell Ownes for a 43-yarder. While the Bills secondary has given up a lot of yards, teams have been forced to the air because they have gotten leads in both games. The good news is that the Bills have had a pick-six in each of their first two games. The Saints' pass defense has been its usual futile self as they rank No. 29 against the pass. With the Bills piling up 438 yards of offense last week, they should be able to move the ball against the Saints. The public loves a scoring team and it has driven this line up to +6, with 76% backing the Saints on the road. That is just too many points for an improving Bills team that has proven to be very tough in this spot at home.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Saints 7 3 0 17 27
Bills 0 7 0 0 7

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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