2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 13, 2011
New Orleans at Atlanta
Sunday 11/13 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Atlanta PICK () (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: loss
3 units on Game Total UNDER PICK (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: win
The New Orleans Saints head to Atlanta with a 6-3 mark on the season, laying points in a building that is very tough for road teams. The Saints have struggled as a road favorite over the last few years going just 3-10 ATS in the role of road chalk in their last 13 games. Atlanta's game plan here should be no secret. The Saints’ offense is the best side of the ball, so the Falcons will attack their Achilles heel with a dual purpose, they will be running the ball often. The Saints allow a league worst 5.6 yards per carry on the ground. That should allow Atlanta to run the ball with success, shorten the game, and keep the Saints offense off the field. Matt Ryan has always been good at home in his short career where he has led the Falcons to a 17-7 ATS mark. Since 2008, Atlanta is 22-5 at home during the regular season. The Falcons have also come up big after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game where they have followed with a 14-6 ATS mark. The Saints aren't dominating or getting on much of a role of late, as they are now 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight-up win. They have also not scored as proficiently within the NFC South where they meet division rivals twice a year. The Saints are 12-2 to the UNDER in their last 14 within the division. The Falcons allowed fewer than 90 yards rushing in their last contest which sets them up for a low-scoring game here, as they have followed a game allowing 90 or less on the ground by playing 34-14-3 to the UNDER in their last 51. Play on Atlanta and take the UNDER in this one.