2014 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 14, 2014
This pick was released to clients on September 11, 2014 at 3:34PM ET.
New England at Minnesota
Sunday 09/14 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total OVER 49 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: LOSS
Since the 2008 season, the New England offense never needed a home field to put up a ton of points. Over the six year period, they are the highest scoring road team in the NFL at an average of 28.4 points per game. Needless to say that after a lackluster performance in Miami, where Tom Brady is now 7-8, I certainly expect a big bounce back by the Pats offense in this one. Minnesota has to feel good about going to St. Louis and putting up 34 points against one of the league's top defense. I think that the Vikings offense will be even more comfortable and confident at home, and I look for them to have success vs. the New England defense that looked vulnerable against a pedestrian offense last week. Remember that the Vikings scored 30+ at home in half their games a year ago, and they appear to be better this season. The Pats are an even more dynamic offensive team on turf where they are 37-14 to the OVER in their last 51. In the Belichick era, the Pats are 11-1 OVER following a double-digit upset loss. This one flies OVER the total.
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