2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 20, 2015
This pick was released to clients on September 17, 2015 at 7:55PM ET.
New England at Buffalo
Sunday 09/20 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on New England +1 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: WIN
Everyone is pointing at the Buffalo Bills to have a big season. They opened with a win, and now take on New England. Many will look at the last game between these teams, which resulted in a 17-9 Buffalo win, but let's not forget something. Tom Brady did not play in that game and Tyrod Taylor did not face the master, Bill Belichick. The reality is that the Patriots, not counting that game without Brady, are 21-1 SU against Buffalo, so have the Bills really come that far? They have lost by an average of better than 15 points a game, and the solo Bills win was by 3 points. Buffalo is off a big game, spending a lot of energy and were sky high vs. Indy in a 27-14 statement win. So how much is left in the tank? NFL teams tend to have trouble playing two in a row with extreme energy and that is what it will take to be competitive vs. New England. New England has been a machine when they have the offense going as the Pats are 72-33-2 ATS in their last 107 after gaining more than 350 yards in their last game. The Bills are just 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 following a win, and the Pats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 trips here. Play on New England.
|New England PatriotsPatriots||14||10||13||3||40|