2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 28, 2008

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

28

New England at Buffalo

Sunday 12/28 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Buffalo +6 (-105) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: LOSS

Perhaps one of the most overlooked factors for the Bills this year has been the QB situation. When Trent Edwards is healthy, the Bills are simply a much different team. They are 7-4 with him and 0-4 without him. Most of those losses with Edwards in the lineup came when he returned after he suffered a concussion against the Rams. The Bills have also played much better the last two weeks. They gave a win away against the Jets in the last two minutes with a fumble, but they still got the ATS win. And, they won on the road against another team that needed a win at Denver. While most have left Buffalo for dead, this team isn't as bad as you think. The Pats have exploded for 96 points in the last two weeks, and everyone is on the bandwagon again. Those games were over before halftime, so the Pats were able to play loose and free. Last week's 47-7 win over a playoff-bound team solidified in the mind of the public that New England is a force! What everyone forgets is that they had the fight of their life three weeks ago at Seattle. Despite having a +1 turnover advantage, the Pats needed a TD on the last drive to pull out the win against a team that was 2-10 and had lost six straight and were also a seven-point underdog. The Arizona team they beat last week had played three games on the East Coast and lost them all, giving up more points in two of them than the 47 the Patriots scored against them! The Oakland team they beat two weeks ago was 3-15 at home in their last 18, but the Patriots were just a 6.5 point favorite there? This game is getting too much extra juice on the line because of those two games and the bandwagon effect. This is a game where the Bills won't lie down as they are fighting for Dick Juron's job and would like nothing more than to finish the season on a winning note, hurting the hated Patriots' palyoff chances in the process. I think the Patriots will have their hands full here, so I'm backing the Bills with the points.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Patriots 3 0 7 3 13
Bills 0 0 0 0 0

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