2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 16, 2008

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

16

Minnesota at Tampa Bay

Sunday 11/16 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Tampa Bay -4.5 (-108) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

I was surprised to see this line as low as it is in this game. I think the books are giving the Vikings more credit than they deserve. The defense has played well, and ranks side-by-side to Tampa Bay in the top 10. The problem for the Vikings is in the other two aspects of the game. Their special teams and offense have given up big plays all season. It all but cost them a game at home last week vs Green Bay, and did cost them a game at home vs. Indianapolis and another vs. Chicago. The defense has been gulity of allowing big plays when their safeties get caught pinching up. So the defense, which is on par yards-wise with that of Tampa Bay, has allowed 7 more points a game than Tampa Bay! The Bucs allow just 10.8 ppg at home and will be a force against an average Minnesota offense. The Bucs have the defense to stop, or at least slow, AP and if they do, Minnesota is in trouble. Tampa Bay has out-scored their opponents 101-43 at home, and I like them laying a small number here.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Vikings 3 10 0 0 13
Buccaneers 3 3 7 6 19

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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