Minnesota at Seattle

The Minnesota Vikings have done a pretty good job of getting on the scoreboard this season. It isn't likely to last, however, as they have the #28 rated offense in terms of yards per game. They have averaged 24.4 points per game which is #13 in the league. That scoring average is going to drop, and I think it starts this week, as Seattle is one of the best defensive teams in the NFL. The Seahawks have held six teams to 17 points or less this season, and four teams to 10 points or less. I think this Minnesota team that has been scoring unsustainable points with a limited offense and they should get exposed here. Seattle isn't putting up the crazy offensive numbers they did closing out the season last year, but they are still capable of shutting down this Vikings' meager offense, and score plenty to cover a big number. The Vikings rarely put together a pair of good games in a row, and that has left them at 7-16 ATS in their last 23 after a win in their previous game. Seattle takes no prisoners at home where they have been a remarkable 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 here including 21-8 ATS since the arrival of Pete Carroll and 15-5 ATS in the Russell Wilson era. Carroll has really had his way with poor defensive teams like Minnesota, going 14-5 ATS here in Seattle vs. such teams. The Vikings again are inconsistent, playing to a 27-9 mark to the UNDER when following a game where they scored 30 points or more. Under Leslie Frazier, this team is 12-4 UNDER to a total set in this range (42.5 to 49 points). Go with Seattle and the the defense to keep this one UNDER.