This pick was released to clients on November 21, 2025 at 10:58AM ET.
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Minnesota at Green Bay

November 23, 2025
img1:00 PM Eastern

The combination of J.J. McCarthy’s growing pains and the Packers not fully clicking on offense has resulted in a total so low it is more reminiscent of a preseason game than a Week 12 matchup. This is not a high bar to clear to go OVER. Minnesota is eighth in yards per carry (4.7) with two good running backs, Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason. Green Bay has given up an average of 138.7 yards rushing during its past three games. The Packers are likely to be missing their leading tackler, injured Quay Walker. The Vikings’ offensive line gets a massive boost with the expected return of center Ryan Kelly. He had missed the past six games. Jordan Love is learning to adjust to being without star tight end Tucker Kraft. Christian Watson has stepped up since coming off the injured list, catching two touchdown passes against the Giants last week. It is a plus if Josh Jacobs can play after suffering a minor knee injury against the Giants. Jacobs’ 11 TD runs are the most in the NFC. If Jacobs is unable to play, Love is likely to pass more. That would not be bad for the OVER either. Take the OVER.

1 unit on Game Total OVER 40.5 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Minnesota Vikings
3
3
0
0
6
Green Bay Packers img
7
3
7
6
23
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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