2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks
January 03, 2016
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 2021 at 3:15PM ET.
Minnesota at Green Bay
Sunday 01/03 08:30 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Green Bay -3 (-115) (risk 1.5 to return 2.8) RESULT: loss
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 46 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87) RESULT: win
There is a lot at stake here as the winner earns the right to host their first playoff game, while the loser will still be a Wild Card entry. What is fitting about this game is neither team has played like a playoff caliber team all season. The Packers are -22 yards per game from the line of scrimmage, while the Vikings are -18. That contrasts with the 10-5 record of both these teams entering this game. The Packers are off their worst perfromance of the season in Arizona, losing 38-8, while the Vikings crushed the New York Giants 49-17 in their last game. That may be good news for the Packers as any NFL team that lost their last game by 22 points or more ATS, and have a winning percentage of .600 or better, are 86-64-3 ATS, covering 57.3% of the time. While the Vikings scored 49 points last game, it isn't the norm as both these teams have been better defensively all season, and both offenses are below the league average from the line of scrimmage. Let's not forget, the Packers appeared ripe to be had when they were playing poorly earlier in the season and went to Minnesota and dismantled the Vikings 30-13. This has been a very good matchup for Green Bay, as they are 10-1-1 SU in the last 12 meetings, winning by an average of nearly two TD's a game. It has been even worse for the Vikings at Lambeau where they are 0-5-1 SU and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings, losing by 16.2 points per game. The defenses have the edge here on both sides, and history and home field, as well as situations side with the home team. Make the play on Green Bay and the UNDER.
|Green Bay PackersPackers||3||0||0||10||13|
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