2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 19, 2004
This pick was released to clients on July 10, 2012 at 8:29PM ET.
Minnesota at Detroit
Sunday 12/19 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Detroit +3 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73) RESULT: win
2 units on Detroit +130 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 4.6) RESULT: loss
Minnesota read the script and their executing to a tee. Their annual late-season collapse is happening again and they are really going to be bummed after this one. Kevin Jones is on fire (averaging 138 yards per game over last four) and should have success against a pourus Vikings run defense. Yes, Joey Harrington is struggling mightly but I like the fact that this team was able to give Indy a run for their money last week, even with Harrington going 5 for 22. If he can get in any kind of rhythm, I see the Lions winning this game. If not, they still have a shot to keep it close. He has a chance against the league's 7th worst pass defense and the support of their own improved running game. Divisional home underdogs in their final three games of the season cover the spread about two thirds of the time. Three stars on Detroit +3 and another two stars on them to win it outright.