2003 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 28, 2003

This pick was released to clients on August 15, 2012 at 4:05PM ET.

28

Minnesota at Arizona

Sunday 12/28 04:05 PM Eastern

4 units on Arizona +7.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)  RESULT: WIN

If Seattle losses to San Francisco on Saturday, this game will not have playoff implications for Minnesota – they’ll be in. Given that Seattle has won just one road game all year, this is a distinct possibility. If that happens, this game becomes an even stronger play. However, I like it regardless of what happens in ‘Frisco. The Vikings are an up-and-down team. They won big last week as I predicted, in a highly important and emotional game. They often play down to their competition, though. Four of their six losses this year have come against teams with losing records. Since mid-season, they’ve lost on the road to the Giants, Chargers, Raiders and Bears. That gives pause to think the Cardinals actually have a shot in this one. After their last three big wins, the Vikings have fallen down hard. After an 8 point win against Denver in week 7, they lost by 12 to the Giants. After a 10 point win in week vs. Detroit in week 12, they got crushed 17-48 by St. Louis. And, after a week 14 34-7 win over Seattle they fell by 3 to the Chicago Bears. Now they are laying over a touchdown on the road after a big win. The Vikings still have a very suspect defense (ranked 26th in the league). As bad as Arizona has been over the past few years, they are 17-6 ATS at home after 3+ losses. How’s this for a nice contrast: Arizona is 5-1 ATS at home in their last six while Minnesota is riding a 0-4 ATS streak on the road. Oh yeah, and Minnesota is 1-15 SU in their last 16 games played outdoors.

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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