This pick was released to clients on July 11, 2012 at 1:10PM ET.
img NFL

Miami at Tampa Bay

August 28, 2004
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Game Total OVER 33 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS

Thirty three? Come on. That's way too low. The public is overreacting to the fact that Tampa Bay scored 6 points and Miami got shut out last week. These are good reasons to bet the over. Just as Dallas put forth an extra offensive effort last week following their week 1 shutout, these teams will as well. They've been focusing alot on offense this week to figure out how to improve from last week's horrible performances. Games in the last couple of weeks of the preseason in which the O/U is under 35 and involve a road team off a loss have gone OVER 19 out of 22 times over the past five seasons. Expect this one to as well. One unit on the over.

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