A warm-weather team like Miami winds up a tough two-game road trip here. They come off a loss at Denver, 20-13, and head to the New York cold for this one. Rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa had a rough outing (83 yards, 6 sacks) in his first loss as a starter and was benched in the second-half for shaky backup QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (10 TDs, 8 INTs for the season). The Dolphins are 8-20 ATS on FieldTurf, plus 9-19-1 ATS after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. The Jets are hungry to break a 10-game skid and are playing like it. They gave the Patriots all they could handle in a 30-27 last-second loss as a +9 dog, then last week lost at the Chargers (34-28) as a +9.5 dog. They've covered three of four and have to go with backup QB Joe Flacco (6 TDs, 3 INTs), who is better than injured starter Sam Darnold (3 TDs, 6 INTs). The Jets had a losing record last year, as well, but beat the Dolphins in a late-season cold-weather home game, 22-21. Look for a close one in another divisional dogfight. Play New York.
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