New Orleans at Miami

Every NFL team could use a bye this late in the season. The Dolphins had their bye last week, but the timing could have been better. Miami was playing its best football, winning consecutive games for the first time this season, defeating the Commanders in Spain and knocking off the Bills at home. The Dolphins, though, rank 25th in both yards gained and yards allowed. Their lack of strong play in the trenches, along with their questionable team chemistry, makes them a fade here given this high point spread. Miami hasn't been favored by more than 2.5 points all season. Expect a focused effort from the Saints after their disappointing home loss as a favorite to the Falcons last week, 24-10. New Orleans rookie quarterback Tyler Shough has completed 68.1% of his passes in the previous three games, averaging a respectable 7.46 yards per attempt. Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa has regressed noticeably this season. He has been intercepted 13 times, tied for the most with Geno Smith. The Saints rank ninth in pass defense, allowing fewer than 193 yards per game, and 12th in fewest yards per game. Take the Saints.