Miami at New England

New England can still claim the AFC's No. 1 seed with a win and a loss or tie by Denver. That will be enough motivation to pour it on the Dolphins, who historically are a bad cold-weather team, and the forecast calls for temperatures in the 20s. The Patriots are on a 10-3 ATS run, 6-1 ATS in division games. They are 5-1 ATS after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, and the Dolphins are 1-5 ATS following an ATS win. New England comes off a 42-10 victory over the Jets with Drake Maye enjoying a near-perfect performance, completing 19 of 21 for 256 yards and five TDs with no interceptions. The Patriots soared OVER for the fourth straight game and seventh in nine games. The first meeting this season also went OVER as the Pats won 33-27 in Week 2. New England has gone OVER five of six home games and seven of their past eight January games. Miami has gone OVER eight of nine versus the AFC East, and it is 4-0-2 OVER its past six road games. Take the Patriots and the OVER.