2021 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 26, 2021

This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2021 at 6:19PM ET.


Miami at Las Vegas

Sunday 09/26 04:05 PM Eastern

1.5 units on Miami +3.5 (-102) (risk 1.5 to return 2.97)  RESULT: win

1 unit on Game Total OVER 44 -102 (risk 1 to return 1.98)  RESULT: win

Miami is in the classic situation of being ready to bounce back and redeem itself after an embarrassing performance its previous game, losing 35-0 to Buffalo. Of course, a lot of it was due to Tua Tagovailoa being knocked out of the game in the first quarter with a rib injury, and he is out for this game. Jacoby Brissett replaced him and completed 24 of 40 for 169 yards with one interception. Las Vegas has its own problems at quarterback as Derek Carr is listed as probable with an ankle injury, and backup Marcus Mariota is out indefinitely with a quadricep injury. Nathan Peterman will back up Carr. The Raiders had only 52 yards rushing on 25 carries against the Steelers, and running back Josh Jacobs (toe/ankle) is "very questionable" according to coach Jon Gruden. The Dolphins are 10-1 ATS their past 11 games after giving up at least 30 points their previous game and 6-0 ATS following any loss. Also, Miami is 12-5 ATS versus AFC teams and 10-4 ATS their past 14 games overall. The OVER is 7-3 in Miami's last 10 games following a loss, and they are also 6-1 OVER after an ATS loss. The Raiders have gone OVER their last five home games. Take the Dolphins and the OVER.

Dolphins 14 0 0 11 3 28
Raiders 2 10 7 6 6 31



Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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