2020 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 24, 2020
This pick was released to clients on September 23, 2021 at 12:30PM ET.
Miami at Jacksonville
Thursday 09/24 08:20 PM Eastern
1 unit on Miami +3 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95) RESULT: WIN
Miami plays hard for this coaching staff, on a 10-4 spread run. They covered Sunday in a 31-28 loss to the Bills. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is a capable veteran, and the team doesn't quit, rallying from 17-7 down to take a 20-17 fourth-quarter lead. The Dolphins are 10-4 ATS as an underdog, plus 7-2 ATS following a straight-up loss. They face a Jacksonville group that is #20 in total yards on offense, #21 in passing, while the defense is #22 in yards allowed, including third-worst against the pass (294 yards per game). The short week poses problems as starting center Brandon Linder (knee) might not play, along with CB D.J. Hayden (concussion). Hayden's replacement would be rookies Chris Claybrooks or Josiah Scott. The Jaguars are 8-19 ATS at home after allowing 30+ points, plus 26-43 ATS after outgaining the opposition by 100+ total yards in their previous game. All that yardage didn't matter as they lost to the Titans, 33-30, because of two turnovers and the ailing secondary was picked apart by Ryan Tannehill (4 TDs, no picks). Also, the road team has covered five of seven meetings in this battle for the pride of Florida. Play Miami.
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