2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 13, 2009

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

13

Miami at Jacksonville

Sunday 12/13 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Miami +3 (-135) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

The Dolphins really showed something last week. Their season was on the line as they found themselves down 14-0 to the Patriots and could have mailed it in. What a turn of events. First-year QB Chad Henne was found leading the game-winning, fourth-quarter drives while Tom Brady was getting picked off. Henne gives the Dolphins some needed balance to compliment the power running game and wildcat. The Jags are surging and have won five of their last seven and seven of their last 10, but are they for real? I am not convinced. When you look at the seven wins, not a single one of them came vs. a team with a winning record. And, in the last five wins, four came by three points or less, with the largest margin of victory just five points! It would make sense that a rejuvenated Dolphin's team will present the toughest challenge that the Jags have seen since week two. They haven't exactly been collecting a lot of money at home as they have now gone 0-9 ATS in their last nine as a home favorite and 1-11 ATS when giving points the past two seasons. They are also 2-9 ATS since last season when coming off a win. Meanwhile the Dolphins are stepping-up big going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as a road dog. They are also 7-0 ATS the past three years on the road vs. teams with winning records and 8-1 ATS on the road after a win. The Dolphins are the better team getting points here.

FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Dolphins 7 7 0 0 14
Jaguars 0 7 3 0 10

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

Premium Picks Available Now

Get FREE NFL PICKS
with detailed analysis