Miami at Indianapolis

Indianapolis won last year's meeting 16-10, going UNDER by 18 points. The Dolphins have gone UNDER in eight of 10 road games. The Colts are 2-14-1 ATS in their past 17 games in Week 1, 0-10-1 straight up in their past 11 season openers. They finished last season 1-5 ATS in their previous six games, and the Colts will start this year with Daniel Jones as the starting quarterback. Jones was a bust with the Giants, but he was able to beat out Anthony Richardson for the No. 1 spot with Indianapolis. Jones had 70 TD passes and 47 interceptions with an 84.3 QB rating in six seasons with the Giants. He was 22-36-1 as a starter. Meanwhile, Tua Tagovailoa is healthy for now, and he threw for 2,867 yards and 19 TDs with seven picks in 11 games in 2024. The Colts have upgraded their defense, especially in the secondary, with the additions of Charvarius Ward and Cam Bynum. However, Miami holds the edge on both sides of the ball. Take the Dolphins and the UNDER.