Miami at Buffalo

Miami understandably is getting a ton of points following two losses to open the season, but four of the past seven meetings have been decided by three points or less, including Buffalo's 30-27 win on this field last year. Tua Tagovailoa completed 25 of 28 for 231 yards and two TDs with no interceptions in that game and it went OVER by eight points. Four of six meetings have gone OVER. The Dolphins also soared OVER by 18.5 points in Sunday's 33-27 loss to the Patriots. Tagovailoa threw for 315 yards and two TDs and Miami actually outgained New England 358-333. It was obviously a huge improvement from Miami's 33-8 loss to Indianapolis in Week 1. The Dolphins have gone OVER five straight against the AFC East and Buffalo is 7-1 OVER its past eight games after totaling more than 150 yards rushing its previous game. Miami is fortunate that the weather won't be a factor as it likely would be later in the season at Buffalo. Grab the big points with the Dolphins, and bet the OVER.