Miami at Buffalo

These two teams are going in opposite directions. Buffalo has won and covered three in a row, and Miami has lost five of six, including 28-27 to Arizona on Sunday. As time expired, Chad Ryland's 34-yard field goal won it for the Cardinals, who spoiled Tua Tagovailoa's return from concussion protocol. The Bills have won their past three games by a combined score of 88-40, including a 31-10 rout of Seattle last week. Josh Allen threw for 283 yards and two TDs, and James Cook ran for 117 yards and scored two points. Buffalo won the first meeting 31-10 on Sept. 12 and covered both meetings last season. Buffalo is 6-0 OVER as a home favorite and 4-0 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. The Bills score 28.7 points per game; the past five meetings have averaged 54 points. Thirteen of the past 20 meetings between these teams have gone OVER. Take the Bills and the OVER.