2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 09, 2007
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Miami at Buffalo
Sunday 12/09 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Miami +7 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: loss
2 units on Miami +250 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: loss
Miami has lost 12 straight and is on the 0-fer watch. Will they go 0-16? We think they have a decent shot to end there streak this week. The fact is, the Fins have lost six games by 3 points or less, and only been beaten by 10 or more three times. Two of those 10+ point losses were as a favorite. No one wants to lose to a winless team as an underdog, and the Jets went into last week's game mad that they were underdogs. This is a different story as Buffalo, after seeing that, could easilly let down a bit here. Jesse Chatman ran for 124 yards vs the Bills earlier in the season, and the fact that the Bills have just 13 sacks, and are near the bottom of the league vs the pass, may give Beck the breathing room he needs. The Bills are coming off a huge emotional win and have Cleveland and the Giants coming up, so may be a bit of a letdown spot. Many thought Miami could win last week and they got spanked. They are at their low point and no one gives them a chance, as evidenced by getting 7 points vs. a 6-6 team. Miami has a defense that is playing better of late, and they have the best offense on the field in this game (Buffalo is second to last behind the Niners). The Bills are averaging 15.3 ppg (12 ppg in-division) so there's a good chance for Miami in this game and we'll back them with the points.