These picks were released to clients on February 09, 2022 at 6:47PM ET.
img NFL

Los Angeles vs. Cincinnati

February 13, 2022
img6:30 PM Eastern

In the Super Bowl, place kickers are not used as much as they are in the regular season or even other playoff games. Teams want to score touchdowns. Out of 55 Super Bowls, there have only been 16 games with field goals of 45+ yards (29%). Fair odds on that bet are -245. And, that's based on 45 yards, not 47.5. In addition, has this changed recently? Maybe with the recent rule changes that favor offense, this percentage has gone up? Actually it's just the opposite. Over the past 17 Super Bowls, only four have seen a field goal made at 48+ yards. Since Super Bowl 42, 12 of 15 Super Bowls have had the longest field goal come in UNDER 48 yards. We have about a 70%-80% chance of this bet coming through based on Super Bowl history. Take the UNDER on this prop.

1.5 units on Longest Field Goal UNDER 47.5 yards (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Cincinnati +4.5 (-109) (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 49 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Coin Toss Winner Will Defer (risk 2 to return 2.4)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Opening kickoff will be a touchback = NO (risk 2 to return 4.2)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Score in the first 4:30 minutes = NO (risk 2 to return 2.71)
Result:
WIN
2 units on First Quarter UNDER 9.5 (risk 2 to return 3.67)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Fourth Quarter OVER 13.5 (risk 1.5 to return 2.7)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Highest-Scoring Quarter = 4th (risk 1.5 to return 4.88)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Highest-Scoring Half = 2nd+OT (risk 2 to return 3.72)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Total Field Goals UNDER 3.5 (risk 1 to return 1.63)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Team to Score Last Wins the Game = YES (risk 2 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Touchdown scored on 4th down = NO (risk 2 to return 2.5)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Rams img
7
6
3
7
23
Cincinnati Bengals
3
7
10
0
20
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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