2021 Season NFL Football Past Picks

February 13, 2022

This pick was released to clients on February 09, 2022 at 6:47PM ET.

13

Los Angeles vs. Cincinnati

Sunday 02/13 06:30 PM Eastern

1 unit on Total Field Goals UNDER 3.5 (risk 1 to return 1.63)  RESULT: WIN

In 2021, the average number of field goals per game was just 3.36. The Rams averaged just 2.29 field goals made per game while the Bengals kicked 2.35 per game. But, this is not just any game. This is the big game and the Super Bowl is a different animal. Teams are generally less conservative overall in the Super Bowl when all is said and done. It's all or nothing. The coaches do not want to leave anything on the field. If a team is ahead, they don't want to give their opponent any chance of coming back. If a team is behind, they are not playing to keep it close  they are playing to win the game, no matter what. So, there are fewer field goals in the Super Bowl than in your average NFL game. Through the first 55 Super Bowls, there have only been 139 made field goals which comes to an average of 2.65 per game. That's 21% less than this year's regular-season average of 3.36. In only 15 of the 55 Super Bowl games have more than three field goals been made! That comes to just 27% and fair odds on that are -275. Yet, we get -160 odds here. This bet should come through about three quarters of the time. Take the UNDER on this prop.

FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Rams 7 6 3 7 23
Bengals 3 7 10 0 20

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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