Bettors tend to shy away from juiced bets. They would much rather risk a little to win a lot. Here's an example of a bet in which the juice offered provides value. How do I know? It's all in the math. In 55 prior Super Bowls, 42 winners scored last. That's a rate of 76%. And, it has gotten even better. In the last 39 Super Bowls, the rate has increased to 85% (33-6). But here's where it gets crazy good In the last 22 Super Bowls, the team that scored last has won 20 times (91%) including eight straight since Super Bowl XLVII. So, fair odds here are in the range of -315 (based on 76%) to -1000 (91%). To get this bet in at -215 is a gift from the gambling gods. Take the YES on this bet for a Max Play.
These Pro Picks were released to clients on February 09, 2022 at 6:47PM ET.
NFL
Los Angeles vs. Cincinnati
February 13, 2022
6:30 PM Eastern
2 units on Team to Score Last Wins the Game = YES (risk 2 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Cincinnati +4.5 (-109) (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 49 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Coin Toss Winner Will Defer (risk 2 to return 2.4)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Opening kickoff will be a touchback = NO (risk 2 to return 4.2)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Score in the first 4:30 minutes = NO (risk 2 to return 2.71)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on First Quarter UNDER 9.5 (risk 2 to return 3.67)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1.5 units on Fourth Quarter OVER 13.5 (risk 1.5 to return 2.7)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1.5 units on Highest-Scoring Quarter = 4th (risk 1.5 to return 4.88)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Highest-Scoring Half = 2nd+OT (risk 2 to return 3.72)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Total Field Goals UNDER 3.5 (risk 1 to return 1.63)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Longest Field Goal UNDER 47.5 yards (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Touchdown scored on 4th down = NO (risk 2 to return 2.5)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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