Mike Vrabel has done an astonishing job in his first year as coach of New England with a 14-3 record and 12-5 ATS, including winning and covering the final three games of the regular season by an average score of 108-44. The Patriots have soared OVER five games in a row, and they are 4-0 OVER following a win by at least 14 points. New England has gone OVER eight of its past nine January games and six of its past seven at home. History is on the side of the Patriots, who are 12-3 at home against the Chargers, who have to travel 2,600 miles to play in less-than-ideal conditions. The Patriots have won eight of nine against AFC teams. They are 5-0 OVER after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Drake Maye appears to be on his way to being an elite quarterback with 4,394 passing yards, 31 TDs, and just eight interceptions this season. The Chargers come into the game on a two-game losing streak, although Justin Herbert was rested against Denver last week. Take the Patriots on the moneyline and the OVER.
These Pro Picks were released to clients on January 08, 2026 at 12:21PM ET.
Los Angeles at New England
January 11, 2026
2 units on New England -185 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.08)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 45 -114 (risk 1 to return 1.88)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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