2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 14, 2009
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Los Angeles at Las Vegas
Monday 09/14 10:15 PM Eastern
3 units on Las Vegas +10.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: WIN
I can't remember the last time a team got double-digits at home in a season opener, but such is the case with the Raiders in this one. It's not too much of a surprise given how bad the Raiders have been in recent years, and their bad play in the preseason. And, the Chargers are going to be a very good team this year. But, laying double-digits on the road is going to suck the life out of your bankroll before long. The good news for the Raiders is that they won their last two games in 2008. A team that was able to score 18+ points in a game just once in ten games, closed the season scoring 26, 27 and 31 in their final three. JaMarcus Russell is coming around as he threw seven TD passes in the first 13 games but six in the last three of 2008. The running game was good as well gaining 447 yards on 96 carries. So there is some hope for the Raiders this season. The Chargers had an injury plagued year, finished strong, and made the playoffs at just 8-8. They are on a 3-7 ATS run as a road favorite of 3.5-10 points. The oddsmakers opened this game at -6.5 for San Diego. That's the fair number in their mind. My computer matchup for this game agrees. The public has pushed it all the way to -10! I like Oakland to find a way to stay inside an inflated number.
|Los Angeles ChargersChargers||0||10||0||14||24|
|Las Vegas RaidersRaiders||7||3||0||10||20|