2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 01, 2015
This pick was released to clients on October 30, 2015 at 9:38AM ET.
Los Angeles at Baltimore
Sunday 11/01 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Los Angeles +3.5 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95) RESULT: win
1 unit on Game Total OVER 50 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95) RESULT: win
The playoffs for both these teams seems out of reach already, as San Diego is 2-5 and Baltimore at 1-6 are both on three-game losing streaks. I think both of these teams have played tough early schedules, and the loser of this game, which will make it four straight is likely to go in the tank. The Ravens are 1-6, but all six loses were by one possession. The problem they face here is that Phillip Rivers is having a very good season, and the Ravens secondary is depleted and has already allowed three teams to pass for 350 yards or more. The Ravens are allowing 26.3 points per game on the season. It will be open season on the Ravens secondary as Rivers has thrown for 327 yards or more in each of his last four games. Both of these teams can throw the ball, and neither does a good job defending it, so I expect the ball to be in the air a lot, and the points coming at a furious pace. The difference is that Rivers has been consistent the entire season, while Flacco has been up and down, and is one of the reasons why the Ravens are 1-6. The Chargers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 after allowing greater than 350 total yards their previous game, while the Ravens 2-11-1 ATS under the same terms. San Diego has played to an 18-7-1 mark to the OVER in their last 26 games vs. a team with a losing home record, and four of the last five have topped the total in this series. Play San Diego and take the OVER.
|Los Angeles ChargersChargers||3||13||7||3||26|
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