2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 20, 2011

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

20

Las Vegas at Minnesota

Sunday 11/20 01:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Minnesota PICK () (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: LOSS

Oakland is missing both their starting QBs and their top running back. The Raiders started the year 4-2 but since losing these key players, they are 1-2, despite playing less than stellar competition (Kansas City, Denver, San Diego). In addition, the matchup here isn't good for the Raiders. The Raiders are favored on the road, missing key offensive players and with a run-stop unit that is amongst the worst in the NFL. You can bet that Adrian Peterson is going to get a lot of work in this one, and is likely to have a monster game. Carson Palmer looked good last week, but I'd have to see it again before I'd say he is back. He couldn’t do anything with the Bengals and he really hasn't been anything better than mediocre for the past several years. The Vikings were just abused by Green Bay in front of the entire country on Monday Night. Before that game they would have been favored here, so we definitely have some line value, and a team motivated to show they aren't as bad as they appeared last week. The Raiders are a team that seems to step-up in the role of a dog and laydown in the role of a favorite, as they are 8-23 ATS in their last 31 laying points. They are also 7-21 ATS in their last 28 games vs. teams at .250 or worse. The Vikings have dug in ten straight times after losing big at home. They are 10-0 ATS the last ten times they lost a home game by 21+ points. Take the motivated home team here.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Raiders 3 21 3 0 27
Vikings 7 0 0 14 21

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Wins Losses Units
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