2016 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 18, 2016
This pick was released to clients on December 17, 2021 at 1:31PM ET.
Las Vegas at Los Angeles
Sunday 12/18 04:25 PM Eastern
1 unit on Los Angeles +3 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87) RESULT: push
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 49.5 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87) RESULT: win
Bettors are enamored with the high-flying Oakland offense, but don't ignore this below average defense. The Raiders are #30 in the NFL in yards allowed, #22 in points, #27 against the pass. They are a road favorite in this divisional matchup, getting overvalued by oddsmakers, and have failed to cover two of the last three. The Raiders are also just 17-38-1 ATS in December. They come off a loss at Kansas City, scoring 13 points. Oakland now has to head out on the road again, facing a talented San Diego offense that is #11 in yards, sixth in passing and fourth in points (26.9 ppg) behind veteran QB Philip Rivers (27 TDs, 17 INTs). The Chargers are 10-3 ATS against the AFC, plus a strong bounce-back team at 10-2 ATS when following a straight-up loss. The Chargers defense is better at #17 in the NFL in yards allowed. Despite a losing record, the Chargers have outscored opponents on the season. San Diego is 9-4-1 UNDER the total against a winning team, including 9-2-1 UNDER at home against an opponent with a winning road record. With the UNDER 15-5-1 when these rivals clash in San Diego and the underdog 14-2 ATS, back the home dog in more of a defensive duel than oddsmakers expect. Take San Diego and also play the UNDER.
|Las Vegas RaidersRaiders||3||7||3||6||19|
|Los Angeles ChargersChargers||7||3||6||0||16|
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