2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 03, 2004
This pick was released to clients on July 10, 2012 at 3:21PM ET.
Las Vegas at Houston
Sunday 10/03 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Houston +2 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82) RESULT: win
2 units on Houston +120 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 4.4) RESULT: win
Oakland hasn't won on the road in two years and they now have to go to their bench at QB just when Rich Gannon was reminding Raider fans of 2002. We're getting a nice line here based on Oakland's surprisingly good start. But Houston, especially at home, is a good squad and to get points is a gift. The Texans are 5-1 as a home dog of 9 points or less. There's a handful of great 70%+ trends in this one that have to do with home underdogs off a win vs. an opponent off a home win as a favorite. Also, home dogs off a small road win when facing an opponent off a big home win are an eye-popping 26-6 ATS (including 1-0 this year when Jacksonville beat Denver as a home dog in week 2). Houston is as good as Oakland and could easily be laying 2-3 points. One unit on the Texans at +2 and one unit on them to win straight-up.