2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 18, 2011

18

Las Vegas at Buffalo

Sunday 09/18 01:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Las Vegas PICK () (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: WIN

The end of this game is going to leave one of these teams in great shape starting the season at 2-0, something no one saw when looking at these clubs on the offseason. Buffalo went to Kansas City last week and tore a new one into the Chiefs with a resounding 41-7 win. If this were a baseball game, the Bills pitched a perfect game. It is hard to find flaws in a 41-7 win on the road. Therein lies the problem. We were on the Bills in that game as it was a good spot for them. The Chiefs had a soft schedule last year, and everything broke just right for them and they will likely sink into the 4 to 5 win team they have long been. They were way overrated and as a result, the Bills win shocked people more than it shoudl have. The Bills did have one glaring question mark in that game vs. the Chiefs. Kansas City ran for over 100 yards on just 18 carries. If there is a team that can take note of that and exploit it, the Raiders can. Oakland ran all over the Broncos for 190 yards, and you can be sure that the game plan will include more of the same. Teams that can run the ball as a dog, and on the road, often are successful. The Raiders have covered nine of their last 13, and that includes a 6-2 ATS mark on the road. The Bills are currently on an 8-22-2 ATS run at home vs. a team with a winning road record. The Raiders have the edge here in recent matchups at 7-1 ATS in the last eight including 5-1 here in Buffalo. The pendulum has swung and the Bills are now a bit overrated after that week one performance. Take the Raiders and the points.

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