2020 Season NFL Football Past Picks

February 07, 2021

This pick was released to clients on January 28, 2021 at 4:28PM ET.

07

Kansas City at Tampa Bay

Sunday 02/07 06:30 PM Eastern

2 units on Team to Score Last Wins the Game = YES (risk 2 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

Bettors tend to shy away from juiced bets. They would much rather risk a little to win a lot. Here's an example of a bet in which the juice offered provides value. How do I know? It's all in the math. In 54 prior Super Bowls, 41 winners scored last. That's a rate of 76%. And, it has gotten even better. In the last 38 Super Bowls, the rate has increased to 84% (32-6). But here's where it gets crazy good? In the last 21 Super Bowls, the team that scored last has won 19 times (91%) including seven straight since Super Bowl XLVII. So, fair odds here are in the range of -315 (based on 76%) to -1000 (91%). To get this bet in at -200 is a gift from the gambling gods. Take the YES on this bet as a Max Play.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Chiefs 3 3 3 0 9
Buccaneers 7 14 10 0 31

NFL

2020-21 Recent Results

Wins Losses Units
99 83 +5.23

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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