These Pro Picks were released to clients on January 28, 2021 at 2:28PM ET.
img NFL

Kansas City at Tampa Bay

February 7, 2021
img6:30 PM Eastern

In the Super Bowl, place kickers are not used as much as they are in the regular season or even other playoff games. Teams want to score touchdowns. Out of 54 Super Bowls, there have only been 15 games with field goals of 45+ yards (28%). Fair odds on that bet are -260. And, that?s based on 45 yards, not 47.5. In addition, has this changed recently? Maybe with the recent rule changes that favor offense, this percentage has gone up? Actually it's just the opposite. Over the past 16 Super Bowls, only three have seen a field goal made at 48+ yards. Since Super Bowl 42, 12 of 14 Super Bowls have had the longest field goal come in UNDER 48 yards. Take the UNDER on this prop as a Max Play.

2 units on Longest Field Goal UNDER 47.5 yards (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Tampa Bay +3.5 (-105) (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
WIN
2 units on First Quarter UNDER 10.5 (risk 2 to return 3.63)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Fourth Quarter OVER 14.5 (risk 1.5 to return 3.02)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Highest-Scoring Quarter = 4th (risk 1.5 to return 4.29)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Highest-Scoring Half = 2nd+OT (risk 2 to return 2.8)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Score in Last 3:30 of 4th Quarter = YES (risk 2 to return 3.14)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Longest Touchdown OVER 39.5 yards (risk 1.5 to return 2.55)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Total Field Goals UNDER 3.5 (risk 2 to return 3.44)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Team to Score Last Wins the Game = YES (risk 2 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Score in the first 4:00 minutes = NO (risk 2 to return 3.75)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Kansas City Chiefs
3
3
3
0
9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers img
7
14
10
0
31
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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