2020 Season NFL Football Past Picks

February 07, 2021

This pick was released to clients on January 28, 2021 at 4:28PM ET.

07

Kansas City at Tampa Bay

Sunday 02/07 06:30 PM Eastern

2 units on Score in Last 3:30 of 4th Quarter = YES (risk 2 to return 3.14)  RESULT: LOSS

When you think about the end of a football game, what comes to mind first? If you are like most people, you thought of the winning team taking a knee in victory formation, or running out the clock by running the ball. This can often take a long time, what seems like an eternity. So how likely is it that a team scores in the waning moments of a Super Bowl? Turns out it?s quite often. In 5 Super Bowls, a team has scored in the final 3:30 of the game 34 times. That comes out to 63% of the time. Fair odds on that kind of bet are -170 which is better than what the oddsmakers are offering on this prop. Good job bookmakers. But hold the presses! If we look deeper we find out that things have changed dramatically over the years, providing us tremendous value. Through Super Bowl 27, there were only 12 instances of this happening. But, in the last 27 years, it has happened 22 times for an 81% win rate. Fair odds on a bet like that are -425. With these extremely high-scoring teams, I?m all over that at -175 odds. Take the YES as a Max Play.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Chiefs 3 3 3 0 9
Buccaneers 7 14 10 0 31

NFL

2020-21 Recent Results

Wins Losses Units
99 83 +5.23

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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