Bettors tend to shy away from juiced bets. They would much rather risk a little to win a lot. Here's an example of a bet in which the juice offered provides value. How do I know? It's all in the math. In 56 prior Super Bowls, 43 winners scored last. That's a rate of 77%. And, it has gotten even better. In the last 40 Super Bowls, the rate has increased to 85% (34-6). But here's where it gets crazy good... In the last 23 Super Bowls, the team that scored last has won 21 times (91%) including nine straight since Super Bowl XLVII. So, fair odds here are in the range of -340 (based on 77%) to -1000 (91%). To get this bet in at -200 is a gift from the gambling gods. Take the YES on this bet for a Max Play.
These Pro Picks were released to clients on February 09, 2023 at 10:59AM ET.
NFL
Kansas City vs. Philadelphia
February 12, 2023
6:30 PM Eastern
2 units on Team to Score Last Wins the Game = YES (risk 2 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Philadelphia -1.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on First Quarter UNDER 10 (risk 1 to return 1.74)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Fourth Quarter OVER 13.5 (risk 1 to return 1.77)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Highest-Scoring Quarter = 4th (risk 1 to return 3.1)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Highest-Scoring Half = 2nd+OT (risk 1.5 to return 2.63)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Total Interceptions OVER 1.5 (risk 2 to return 4.4)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Total Field Goals UNDER 4 (risk 2 to return 3.21)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Longest Field Goal UNDER 47.5 yards (risk 2 to return 3.6)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Score in the first 4:30 minutes = NO (risk 2 to return 2.71)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Opening kickoff will be a touchback = NO (risk 2 to return 4.2)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Touchdown scored on 4th down = NO (risk 2 to return 2.5)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Either Team Scores 3 Unanswered = YES (risk 1.5 to return 2.36)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get free NFL Picks
I pore over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning.
You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.