In the Super Bowl, place kickers are not used as much as they are in the regular season or even in other playoff games. Teams want to score touchdowns. And they certainly don't want to kick long field goals. Out of 56 Super Bowls, there have only been 16 games with field goals of 45+ yards (29%). Fair odds on that bet are -245. And, that's based on 45 yards, not 47.5. In addition, has this changed recently? Maybe with the recent rule changes that favor the offense, this percentage has gone up? Actually, it's just the opposite. Over the past 18 Super Bowls, only four have seen a field goal made at 48+ yards. Since Super Bowl 42, 13 of 16 Super Bowls have had the longest field goal come in UNDER 48 yards. We have about a 70%-80% chance of this bet coming through based on Super Bowl history. Take the UNDER on this prop as a Max Play.
These Pro Picks were released to clients on February 09, 2023 at 10:59AM ET.
Kansas City vs. Philadelphia
February 12, 2023
2 units on Longest Field Goal UNDER 47.5 yards (risk 2 to return 3.6)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Philadelphia -1.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on First Quarter UNDER 10 (risk 1 to return 1.74)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Fourth Quarter OVER 13.5 (risk 1 to return 1.77)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Highest-Scoring Quarter = 4th (risk 1 to return 3.1)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Highest-Scoring Half = 2nd+OT (risk 1.5 to return 2.63)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Total Interceptions OVER 1.5 (risk 2 to return 4.4)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Total Field Goals UNDER 4 (risk 2 to return 3.21)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Team to Score Last Wins the Game = YES (risk 2 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Score in the first 4:30 minutes = NO (risk 2 to return 2.71)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Opening kickoff will be a touchback = NO (risk 2 to return 4.2)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Touchdown scored on 4th down = NO (risk 2 to return 2.5)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Either Team Scores 3 Unanswered = YES (risk 1.5 to return 2.36)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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