These Pro Picks were released to clients on February 06, 2025 at 1:25PM ET.
img NFL

Kansas City vs. Philadelphia

February 9, 2025
img6:30 PM Eastern

Team that scores last win game in Super Bowl LIX? Take the Yes on this bet. Based on my analysis of past Super Bowls and the teams in this matchup, I estimate there to be a 88% chance of us winning this bet. At 88% odds, we have a big advantage against the book.

2 units on Team that scores last win game = Yes (risk 2 to return 2.91)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Kansas City -114 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.88)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on 1st ¼ UNDER 10.5 -235 (risk 1 to return 1.43)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Will the opening kickoff be a touchback = No (risk 1 to return 3.05)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on 1st play from scrimmage 1st down = No (risk 2 to return 2.4)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Score in first 3:30 = No (risk 2 to return 2.33)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Highest scoring half = 2nd + OT = Yes (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Highest scoring quarter = 4th = Yes (risk 1 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Fourth Quarter OVER 13.5 = Yes (risk 1 to return 1.83)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Score in final 3:30 of 4th quarter = Yes (risk 1 to return 1.48)
Result:
WIN
0.5 unit on Kickoff returned for a touchdown = Yes (risk 0.5 to return 13)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Punt return for touchdown (does not include block return) = No (risk 2 to return 2.06)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Each team to have a touchdown and field goal in each half = No (risk 2 to return 2.06)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Total interceptions Over 1.5 = Yes (risk 1 to return 2.4)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Total rushing touchdowns Over 2.5 = No (risk 1 to return 2.12)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Longest FG in game Over 47.5 yards = No (risk 1 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on KC total players with a reception Under 8.5 = Yes (risk 1.5 to return 2.41)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Kansas City Chiefs
0
0
6
16
22
Philadelphia Eagles img
7
17
10
6
40
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get free NFL Picks

I pore over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning.
You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.