Kansas City at Las Vegas

I think it was just a matter of time before the Kansas City defense would get exposed. They had held their first nine opponents to 17 points or less, despite being about average on defense from the line of scrimmage. The Chiefs, despite allowing just 10 in their last game, have now allowed 28.3 points per game over their last four. They are not getting the sacks they got earlier in the season. The real story is the fact that they have allowed 5.8 yards per play to teams that have averaged 5.7, so they are actually a tick worse than average. Oakland has become consistent on offense and has averaged between 19-27 points over their last seven games, and certainly can provide enough here to get this one over the top. Their steady supply of offense has their last six games at 5-0-1 to the OVER. The Chiefs' offense is now the story at 37ppg over their last three. Make the play on the OVER.