Both teams need wins to stay in the playoff race, realistically, and both come off thrilling last-second wins. Patrick Mahomes threw for a season-high 352 yards while rallying Kansas City from an 11-point deficit to defeat Indianapolis 23-20. The defense held the league's No.1 offense to 255 yards while the Chiefs totaled 494 yards. Dallas overcame a 21-point deficit to beat Philadelphia 24-21 on Brandon Aubrey's 42-yard field goal as time expired. The Chiefs have a significant edge on defense, ranking #4 in the NFL, allowing 18.3 points per game, compared to #31 Dallas, which yields 28.6. Kansas City has won nine of 11 against NFC teams. The Cowboys are #29 in total yards allowed (377.5). Mahomes can take advantage of Dallas's zone coverage, which it uses most of the time, as he has for years. The Cowboys' defense has improved since the beginning of the season, but not enough to get a win in this matchup. Take the Chiefs on the moneyline.
This Pro Pick was released to clients on November 26, 2025 at 2:57PM ET.
Kansas City at Dallas
November 27, 2025
2 units on Kansas City -160 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.25)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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