2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 26, 2004

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

26

Jacksonville at Tennessee

Sunday 09/26 01:00 PM Eastern

4 units on Jacksonville +6 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)  RESULT: win

4 units on Jacksonville +220 (moneyline) (risk 4 to return 12.8)  RESULT: win

Jacksonville is 2-0 and getting a solid six points this week against the Titans. The Jags have shown their defense ranks up there with the best in the league. Last week they held the Broncos offense to 6 points. Denver scored 34 the week before against Kansas City. The Jags have allowed just 604 yards total offense and 16 points in two games. The big question is, can they score? They have only put up 20 points in two games. But, look who they've played against. Denver and Buffalo own two of the top defenses in the league. I don't look at Jacksonville's combined 20-16 score as a problem. I look at it as a great sign. This team can play stifling defense and find ways to win close games. That's a Super Bowl formula, my friend. No, I'm not putting Jax in the Super Bowl but I do think they offer great value this week. Tennessee running back Chris Brown has had success this season. He ran for 152 yards against Indianapolis last week but this week he faces a defense allowing just 2.8 yards per carry. The Titans passing game ranks 28th in the league after two games. In week 3, visiting teams that won last week vs. teams that lost cover the spread nearly three quarters of the time. Also, teams off upset wins when facing a team off a large home loss are 90-50 over the past ten years. Two units on the Jags +6 and two units on them to win the game straight-up.

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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