2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 24, 2011
Jacksonville at Tennessee
Saturday 12/24 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Jacksonville PICK () (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: win
2 units on Game Total OVER PICK (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: win
The Titans really needed a win last week at Indianapolis. Unthinkably, they went on the road vs. the 0-13 Colts and were beaten soundly 27-13. They allowed the Colts a season-high in points, and they also had a season high in rushing yards with 205. You really have to question the Titans desires and abilities as a result. After winning big 41-14 vs. the Bucs two weeks ago, the Jaguars’ fortunes were reversed in a 41-14 loss at Atlanta a week ago. The Jags have four wins on the season, but one of those came at the expense of the Titans who have now dropped two straight games. Tennessee had issues with the Colts’ running game as they have had with most all season, ranking No. 23 against the run. That should give Jacksonville the impetus to put the ball in the hands of Maurice Jones-Drew frequently, as he has rushed for 1,336 yards on the season. The Jaguars find themselves in a highly-profitable spot at 10-1 ATS off a +10 point or more spread loss, facing a division opponent that lost their last game both straight-up and against the number. The Titans are also a money-burning 18-42 ATS as a home favorite of -3.5 to -10. Take the dog and the points here. Also take the OVER. The Jaguars have played above the total in seven of their last eight after allowing 250+ through the air in their previous game. The Titans come in at 19-9-1 to the OVER vs. a team with a losing road record. Tennessee is also 32-17 OVER in their last 51 vs. bad offensive teams (teams averaging 17 or fewer points per game). Play on Jacksonville and the OVER in this one.