2017 Season NFL Football Past Picks
January 14, 2018
This pick was released to clients on January 20, 2022 at 1:23PM ET.
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh
Sunday 01/14 01:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Jacksonville +7.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87) RESULT: win
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 41.5 -103 (risk 1 to return 1.97) RESULT: loss
Pittsburgh got a taste of the Jacksonville defense when it lost 30-9 to the Jaguars on Oct. 8 and Ben Roethlisberger threw five interceptions and no touchdowns. Jacksonville is second in the league in yards allowed (286.1 per game) in the regular season while allowing only 16.8 points per game. Pittsburgh allows 19.2 points per game but the Steelers are only 1-5 ATS their last six games while pulling out close decisions usually in the final moments. Blake Bortles has been far from spectacular, but he has managed to keep his team in games and he had a touchdown pass with no interceptions against Buffalo last week. The Jaguars have allowed a total of only 18 points their last two games against the Bills and Tennessee and they are 4-1 ATS their last five meetings at Pittsburgh even with far worse teams. Jacksonville is 6-0 UNDER when following an ATS loss and 8-1 UNDER its last nine against the AFC. They are also 8-1 UNDER this season as a road dog in this range (+3.5 to +7.5). The Steelers are 21-10 UNDER their last 31 games versus AFC teams and 22-12 UNDER overall the past two seasons. Take the Jaguars and the UNDER.