2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 10, 2004
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Jacksonville at Los Angeles
Sunday 10/10 04:05 PM Eastern
4 units on Los Angeles +3 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64) RESULT: WIN
I've been on Jacksonville quite a bit this season but I like the Chargers quite a bit here. They have been a pleasent surprise at 2-1-1 ATS. Drew Brees has responded to the pressure of potentially losing his job and has been nothing less than outstanding. Combine that with the regular excellence of LaDanian Tomlinson and you have a force on the offensive side of the ball. The Chargers will need great offensive play this week against one of the best defenses in the league. However, as we have seen, Jacksonville can't score much. I was surprised that they put up only 17 points last week against a horrible Indy defense. That fact is one of the reasons I like San Diego as a dog in this one. San Diego's defensive strength is against the run where they are giving up just 85 yards per game and rank third in the league. This is a good matchup for them as they should have some success in stopping Fred Taylor. Jacksonville showed last week that they won't necessarily have success against a poor passing defense as evidenced by a mere 17 points against the worst pass defense in the league last week. In non-divisional games, underdogs facinga team off it's first loss of the season are perfect over the last five seasons. Two units on San Diego to keep this one closer than a field goal.