2013 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 15, 2013
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Jacksonville at Las Vegas
Sunday 09/15 04:25 PM Eastern
1 unit on Jacksonville +5.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1) RESULT: LOSS
I know, the ugliest bet last week was on Jacksonville. How can I be back on them this week you ask? Because their is line value. There's line value exactly because of what happened last week. It is rare to see this Oakland team as a solid favorite against anyone. They are off a good performance in game one at Indianapolis. They almost came away with a win, but that came against an overrated Colts team. We have seen all to often Oakland going from hero to zero in back to back weeks. The Raiders have been one of the worst home teams in football for a long time where they are 82-110-3 ATS in their last 195. They are just 9-23 ATS in this role lately. Jacksonville never got going last week, but they will be a better team this season, and too much is being made out of week one that has made this line very soft. Maurice Jones-Drew should carry the load this week vs. Oakland, who is vulnerable to the run. The door is open for him to have a big day, allowing Chad Henne to have some time with play action. The Chiefs are a much better football team than Oakland. So, I expect Jacksonville to be a heck of a lot more competitive here. The Jags have bounced back nicely following an offensive nightmare, as they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine after gaining under 250 total yards in their last game. The Raiders are 20-43-1 ATS in their last 64 vs. a losing team. They are also 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games following a 14+ point loss. Hold your breadth and take Jacksonville.
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