2017 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 10, 2017
This pick was released to clients on September 10, 2021 at 2:02PM ET.
Jacksonville at Houston
Sunday 09/10 01:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Jacksonville +6 (-115) (risk 1.5 to return 2.8) RESULT: win
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 39.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95) RESULT: win
Jacksonville ranked #25 in points scored in 2016 with 19.9 points per game and the Texans were even worse at 17.4 points per contest. Defensively, Houston led the league allowing only 301.3 yards per game while allowing an average of only 20.5 points. The Jaguars brought in Tom Coughlin as executive vice president of football operations and took the interim label off coach Doug Marrone as they try to start a new chapter after years of futility. They'll need improvement from quarterback Blake Bortles and they hope Leonard Fournette can help their running game. Jacksonville finished sixth in yards allowed last year and it signed several free agents, including cornerback A.J. Bouye, safety Barry Church and defensive lineman Calais Campbell. Houston has problems of its own on offense with several injuries at the wide receiver position and Tom Savage, who has two career regular season starts, is the starting QB ahead of heralded rookie Deshaun Watson. The Jags covered the spread four of their last five road games and the Texans finished the season 1-4 ATS their last five games. Houston is 9-4 UNDER its last 13 home games and 4-0-1 UNDER its last five September games. The Houston offense isn't ready to cover this number, so play the Jaguars and the UNDER.