Jacksonville at Houston

Houston won the first meeting 24-21 on Nov. 13 but Blake Bortles statistically outplayed Brock Osweiler in throwing for 265 yards and two touchdowns and completing 32-of-49. However, Bortles was intercepted on the Texans' first possession of the game and it was returned for a touchdown, and Tyler Ervin returned a punt 57 yards to set up another Houston touchdown. The Jaguars outgained the Texans 327-273 and closed as a 2.5-point favorite.  Jacksonville has the fifth ranked defense, allowing 316.4 yards per game and the fourth-ranked pass defense (203.2 ypg). Houston is #28 in the NFL in total offense yards (316.1) and #28 in points scored per game (17.6). Bortles was 23-of-37 for 257 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions in his team's 25-16 loss to Minnesota last week. The Jaguars led 16-12 through three quarters but were outscored 13-0 in the fourth. Houston snapped a three-game losing streak 22-17 at Indianapolis to stay tied for first in the weak AFC South. Running back Lamar Miller is probable for this game with injuries to his ankle and ribs. The Texans have covered the number just once in their last five games after a win and the road team is 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 meetings. Houston has gone UNDER in five of its last seven games and eight of its last 10 home contests. Jacksonville has the defense to keep this one close and Osweiler can't be trusted to cover a reasonably big number.  Play the Jaguars and the UNDER.