Jacksonville at Denver

Jacksonville is playing stellar defense, allowing 20 total points the last two games. They come off a 20-7 win over Tennessee as a home dog allowing 3.5 yards per carry to the run-oriented Titans. The defense is top 10 in points allowed, while backup QB Gardner Minshew (five TDs, one pick) has been a pleasant surprise. They match up well with a bumbling Denver team that has lost all three of its games scoring 14, 16 and 16 points. The anemic offense is #29 in points scored. The Broncos are 5-11 ATS against losing teams, on a 4-9-1 ATS run at home, and 8-20-1 ATS versus the AFC. They are also 7-19-1 on natural grass and 4-14 ATS when following a spread loss. Take the points on Jacksonville.